PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchFriday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Ireland - First Division
Final score Bray Wanderers 2, Wexford 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Bray Wanderers win 66%, Draw 20%, Wexford win 14%.
Bray Wanderers host Wexford in the First Division, Ireland.
Our model gives Bray Wanderers a 66% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Wexford 14%.
The model expects Bray Wanderers to score 2.2 goals and Wexford 1.0.
Bray Wanderers have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Wexford have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchContext onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the First Division, before kick-off.
Bray Wanderers sit 2nd with 53 points; Wexford sit 8th with 41. A gap of 27 in goal difference, in favour of Bray Wanderers.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +37 | 71 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 53 |
| 3 | UCD | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 52 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 41 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -19 | 36 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Bray Wanderers at home and Wexford away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 10 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 10 | 1.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Bray Wanderers at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Wexford away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Bray Wanderers | Wexford |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 8th |
| Points per game | 1.56 | 1.21 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +37 | 71 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 53 |
| 3 | UCD | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 52 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 49 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 48 |
| 6 | Kerry | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 41 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -19 | 36 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -37 | 25 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 8 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 7 |
| 1.40 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 | 1.17 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
|---|