PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost
Final score BSG Chemie Leipzig 1, Luckenwalde 3.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: BSG Chemie Leipzig win 44%, Draw 26%, Luckenwalde win 29%.
BSG Chemie Leipzig host Luckenwalde in the Regionalliga - Nordost, Germany.
Our model gives BSG Chemie Leipzig a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Luckenwalde 29%.
The model expects BSG Chemie Leipzig to score 1.5 goals and Luckenwalde 1.3.
BSG Chemie Leipzig have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Luckenwalde have won 0 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Regionalliga - Nordost, before kick-off.
BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 14th with 9 points; Luckenwalde sit 18th with 3. A gap of 14 in goal difference, in favour of BSG Chemie Leipzig.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Hertha BSC II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 9 |
| 17 | Tasmania Berlin | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -23 | 5 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -19 | 3 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then BSG Chemie Leipzig at home and Luckenwalde away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 8 | 1.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 |
BSG Chemie Leipzig at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Luckenwalde away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Luckenwalde |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 18th |
| Points per game | 0.82 | 0.27 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 0.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 2.83 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +25 | 27 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +20 | 26 |
| 3 | Hallescher FC | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | BFC Dynamo | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 21 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 21 |
| 6 | Erzgebirge Aue | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 19 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 19 |
| 9 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Hertha BSC II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | RSV Eintracht | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -16 | 6 |
| 17 | Tasmania Berlin | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -23 | 5 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -19 | 3 |
| 0 |
| 5 |
| 4 |
| 12 |
| -8 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|