PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Wales - Premier League
Final score Cambrian & Clydach 0, Ammanford AFC 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Cambrian & Clydach win 54%, Draw 22%, Ammanford AFC win 24%.
Cambrian & Clydach host Ammanford AFC in the Premier League, Wales.
Our model gives Cambrian & Clydach a 54% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Ammanford AFC 24%.
The model expects Cambrian & Clydach to score 2.1 goals and Ammanford AFC 1.4.
Cambrian & Clydach have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Ammanford AFC have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Premier League, before kick-off.
Cambrian & Clydach sit 9th with 18 points; Ammanford AFC sit 14th with 6. A gap of 12 in goal difference, in favour of Cambrian & Clydach.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Airbus UK | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 16 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -23 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -25 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Cambrian & Clydach at home and Ammanford AFC away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 9 | 1.80 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 | 1.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
Cambrian & Clydach at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Ammanford AFC away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Cambrian & Clydach | Ammanford AFC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 14th |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 3 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +33 | 34 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +20 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +21 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -23 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -25 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -25 | 2 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 5 |
| 16 |
| -11 |
| 4 |
| 0.80 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 2 |
|---|