PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Final score Cham 2, DJK Bamberg 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Cham win 73%, Draw 18%, DJK Bamberg win 9%.
Cham host DJK Bamberg in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, Germany.
Our model gives Cham a 73% chance of winning, a draw 18% and DJK Bamberg 9%.
The model expects Cham to score 2.3 goals and DJK Bamberg 0.9.
Cham have won 5 of their last 6 league matches; DJK Bamberg have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, before kick-off.
Cham sit 1st with 34 points; DJK Bamberg sit 15th with 11. A gap of 36 in goal difference, in favour of Cham.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cham | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +22 | 34 |
| 2 | Würzburger FV | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 26 |
| 14 | Weiden | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | DJK Bamberg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 11 |
| 16 | Großbardorf | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 10 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Cham at home and DJK Bamberg away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 13 | 2.60 | 3 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 16 | 2.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Cham at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DJK Bamberg away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Cham | DJK Bamberg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 15th |
| Points per game | 2.62 | 0.85 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.50 | 0.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cham | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +22 | 34 |
| 2 | Würzburger FV | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 26 |
| 3 | Gebenbach | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 26 |
| 4 | Eintracht Bamberg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 24 |
| 5 | Jahn Regensburg II | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 22 |
| 6 | Fortuna Regensburg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 7 | Kornburg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 8 | Bayern Hof | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 20 |
| 9 | Stadeln | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 19 |
| 10 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 11 | Neudrossenfeld | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 16 |
| 12 | Ammerthal | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 14 |
| 13 | Ingolstadt II | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Weiden | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | DJK Bamberg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 11 |
| 16 | Großbardorf | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 10 |
| 17 | Nordlingen | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 10 |
| 18 | ASV Neumarkt | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 6 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 5 |
| 3 |
| +2 |
| 9 |
| 1.80 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 | 1.50 | 3 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|