PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Poland - II Liga - East
Final score Chojniczanka Chojnice 2, Podhale Nowy Targ 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Chojniczanka Chojnice win 45%, Draw 25%, Podhale Nowy Targ win 30%.
Chojniczanka Chojnice host Podhale Nowy Targ in the II Liga - East, Poland.
Our model gives Chojniczanka Chojnice a 45% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Podhale Nowy Targ 30%.
The model expects Chojniczanka Chojnice to score 1.7 goals and Podhale Nowy Targ 1.4.
Chojniczanka Chojnice have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Podhale Nowy Targ have won 4 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the II Liga - East, before kick-off.
Chojniczanka Chojnice sit 11th with 14 points; Podhale Nowy Targ sit 4th with 17. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of Podhale Nowy Targ.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tychy 71 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 17 |
| 5 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 10 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Avia Świdnik | 10 | – | – | – | – | – |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Chojniczanka Chojnice at home and Podhale Nowy Targ away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 8 | 1.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 11 | 1.83 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 |
Chojniczanka Chojnice at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Podhale Nowy Targ away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Chojniczanka Chojnice | Podhale Nowy Targ |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 4th |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.70 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.33 | 2.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| -4 |
| 11 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 23 |
| 2 | Górnik Łęczna | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 20 |
| 3 | Tychy 71 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 17 |
| 5 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 6 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Hutnik Kraków | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 15 |
| 10 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Avia Świdnik | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Legia Warszawa II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 9 |
| 15 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Sokół Kleczew | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 8 |
| 17 | Świt Skolwin | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 4 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 12 |
| 6 |
| +6 |
| 12 |
| 2.40 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 13 | 2.17 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|