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Picks for Monday 26 October

Monday 26 October

1 of 1 top pick won

Expected about 1 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 182 of 221 top picks won. Expected about 177.

Trial leagues (1 shown): 0 of 1 won

Expected about 1 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 53 of 63 trial picks won. Expected about 51.

Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.

9 October 2026: the record starts on this date. Picks on 7 and 8 October were chosen before we limited picks to 15 major leagues, so they're shown but not counted. Their results: 7 October, 11 of 16 top picks won; 8 October, 12 of 17 top picks won.

From 1 November 2026, the record counts the day's top 10 picks by win chance. Before that it counted the top 20.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 69% · Price then 1.37

SevillaOsasuna20

24' Romero, 82' Correia

· La Liga, Spain

See the match

Trial leagues (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

75%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price then 1.27

CoritibaGremio01

90+2' Braithwaite

· Serie A, Brazil

New league for us: our record here is still building (12 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Our public record starts on 9 Oct 2026.

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Serie A, Brazil

New league for us: our record here is still building (12 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

Coritiba v Gremio

Final score Coritiba 0, Gremio 1.The pick lost.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price then 1.27

Each of Coritiba's last 5 home matches had two or more goals.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Coritiba win 38%, Draw 27%, Gremio win 35%.

Why this pick

Coritiba host Gremio in the Serie A, Brazil.

Our model gives a 75% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 74%.

The model expects Coritiba to score 1.4 goals and Gremio 1.3.

5 of Coritiba's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 5 of Gremio's last 6 did.

Top factors

  • At home, Coritiba have scored 1.8 goals a game and conceded 1.6 in their last 5 home matches.
  • Away, Gremio have scored 0.6 goals a game and conceded 1.2 in their last 5 away matches.

Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Sun 25 Oct, 20:07 GMT. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Sun 25 Oct, 20:07 GMT. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.