Picks for Monday 26 October

Monday 26 October

1 of 1 top pick won

Expected about 1 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 182 of 221 top picks won. Expected about 177.

Trial leagues (1 shown): 0 of 1 won

Expected about 1 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 53 of 63 trial picks won. Expected about 51.

Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.

9 October 2026: the record starts on this date. Picks on 7 and 8 October were chosen before we limited picks to 15 major leagues, so they're shown but not counted. Their results: 7 October, 11 of 16 top picks won; 8 October, 12 of 17 top picks won.

From 1 November 2026, the record counts the day's top 10 picks by win chance. Before that it counted the top 20.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 69% · Price then 1.37

SevillaOsasuna20

24' Romero, 82' Correia

· La Liga, Spain

See the match

Trial leagues (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

75%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price then 1.27

CoritibaGremio01

90+2' Braithwaite

· Serie A, Brazil

New league for us: our record here is still building (12 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Our public record starts on 9 Oct 2026.

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , La Liga, Spain

Sevilla v Osasuna

Final score Sevilla 2, Osasuna 0.The pick won.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 69% · Price then 1.37

Each of Osasuna's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Sevilla win 49%, Draw 24%, Osasuna win 27%.

Why this pick

Sevilla host Osasuna in the La Liga, Spain.

Our model gives a 79% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 69%.

The model expects Sevilla to score 1.8 goals and Osasuna 1.2.

4 of Sevilla's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 6 of Osasuna's last 6 did.

Top factors

  • At home, Sevilla have scored 1.2 goals a game and conceded 2.0 in their last 5 home matches.
  • Away, Osasuna have scored 1.4 goals a game and conceded 3.4 in their last 5 away matches.

Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Sun 25 Oct, 20:07 GMT. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Sun 25 Oct, 20:07 GMT. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.