PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Romania - Liga III - Serie 6
Final score CSM Targu Jiu 1, Unirea Bascov 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: CSM Targu Jiu win 49%, Draw 25%, Unirea Bascov win 26%.
CSM Targu Jiu host Unirea Bascov in the Liga III - Serie 6, Romania.
Our model gives CSM Targu Jiu a 49% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Unirea Bascov 26%.
The model expects CSM Targu Jiu to score 1.7 goals and Unirea Bascov 1.2.
CSM Targu Jiu have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Unirea Bascov have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga III - Serie 6, before kick-off.
CSM Targu Jiu sit 3rd with 14 points; Unirea Bascov sit 7th with 9. A gap of 5 in goal difference, in favour of CSM Targu Jiu.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Minerul Lupeni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | CS U Craiova II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 6 | Filiaşi | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Unirea Bascov | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Păușești | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then CSM Targu Jiu at home and Unirea Bascov away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 8 | 1.60 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 11 | 1.83 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
CSM Targu Jiu at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Unirea Bascov away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | CSM Targu Jiu | Unirea Bascov |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 7th |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 8 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 16 |
| 2 | Minerul Lupeni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | CS U Craiova II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Jiul Petroşani | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Filiaşi | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Unirea Bascov | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Păușești | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Academica Balș | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Oltul Curtişoara | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Petrolul Hartiesti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -25 | 0 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 11 |
| 6 |
| +5 |
| 8 |
| 1.60 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 8 | 1.33 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|