PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Belgium - Challenger Pro League
Final score Dender 3, Club Brugge II 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Dender win 41%, Draw 26%, Club Brugge II win 33%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchDender host Club Brugge II in the Challenger Pro League, Belgium.
Our model gives Dender a 41% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Club Brugge II 33%.
The model expects Dender to score 1.5 goals and Club Brugge II 1.4.
Dender have won 5 of their last 6 league matches; Club Brugge II have won 2 of 5.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Challenger Pro League, before kick-off.
Dender sit 2nd with 15 points; Club Brugge II sit 8th with 8. A gap of 5 in goal difference, in favour of Dender; Dender have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Dender at home and Club Brugge II away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Dender | Club Brugge II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 8th |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 1.60 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 5) | 1.33 | 2.20 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 5) | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Beerschot VA | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Dender | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | AS Eupen | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 12 |
| 7 | Sporting Hasselt | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Club Brugge II | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | KRC Genk II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 7 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beerschot VA | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Dender | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | AS Eupen | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 12 |
| 4 | Francs Borains | 5 | – |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 15 | 3.00 | 4 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 15 | 2.50 | 4 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 9 | 3.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 9 | 3.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 8 | 1.60 | 0 | 1 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 8 | 1.60 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
Dender at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Club Brugge II away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +5 |
| 12 |
| 5 | Excelsior Virton | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 10 |
| 6 | Lokeren-Temse | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Sporting Hasselt | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Club Brugge II | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | KRC Genk II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Liège | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | KAA Gent II | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | K. Lierse S.K. | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Patro Eisden | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Seraing United | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 2 |
| 15 | RSC Anderlecht II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 1 |