PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Georgia - Liga 3
Final score Didube 2014 1, Lokomotivi Tbilisi 3.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Didube 2014 win 55%, Draw 26%, Lokomotivi Tbilisi win 19%.
Didube 2014 host Lokomotivi Tbilisi in the Liga 3, Georgia.
Our model gives Didube 2014 a 55% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Lokomotivi Tbilisi 19%.
The model expects Didube 2014 to score 1.6 goals and Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1.0.
Didube 2014 have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Lokomotivi Tbilisi have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Fri 9 Oct, 00:21 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga 3, before kick-off.
Didube 2014 sit 8th with 34 points; Lokomotivi Tbilisi sit 11th with 28. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Didube 2014.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Irao | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 25 | +11 | 34 |
| 8 | Didube 2014 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | +6 | 34 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 30 | +4 | 32 |
| 10 | Margveti 2006 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Kolkheti Khobi | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 45 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.
How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.
Insufficient historical data: fewer than 3 meetings.
Record shown: April 2026.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Didube 2014 at home and Lokomotivi Tbilisi away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | 1.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 1.20 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 6 | 1.20 | 2 | 2 |
| Home, last 10 (9) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 11 | 1.22 | 4 | 3 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Didube 2014 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 11th |
| Points per game | 1.55 | 1.27 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10) | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10) | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 |
Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| -17 |
| 21 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 63 | 11 | +52 | 51 |
| 2 | Varketili | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 14 | +40 | 49 |
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 II | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 34 | 16 | +18 | 41 |
| 4 | Merani Tbilisi | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 27 | +10 | 39 |
| 5 | WIT Georgia | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 25 | +12 | 38 |
| 6 | Gonio | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 38 |
| 7 | Irao | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 25 | +11 | 34 |
| 8 | Didube 2014 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | +6 | 34 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 30 | +4 | 32 |
| 10 | Margveti 2006 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Kolkheti Khobi | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 21 |
| 13 | Gardabani | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 53 | -35 | 16 |
| 14 | Iveria Khashuri | 22 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 13 |
| 15 | Betlemi | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 54 | -41 | 13 |
| 16 | Iberia 2010 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 56 | -38 | 11 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 11 |
| 6 |
| +5 |
| 8 |
| 1.60 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 16 | 1.60 | 5 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (10) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 | 1.00 | 3 | 2 |
|---|