PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
Final score Dordrecht 0, Emmen 3.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Dordrecht win 48%, Draw 22%, Emmen win 30%.
Dordrecht host Emmen in the Eerste Divisie, Netherlands.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchOur model gives Dordrecht a 48% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Emmen 30%.
The model expects Dordrecht to score 2.0 goals and Emmen 1.6.
Dordrecht have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Emmen have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Eerste Divisie, before kick-off.
Dordrecht sit 18th with 8 points; Emmen sit 4th with 16. A gap of 12 in goal difference, in favour of Emmen.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Dordrecht at home and Emmen away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Dordrecht | Emmen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 4th |
| Points per game | 0.89 | 1.78 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 3.33 | 2.17 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 18 |
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 16 |
| 5 | MVV | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 16 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 8 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 19 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 18 |
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | – |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 | 0.80 | 0 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 | 1.17 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
Dordrecht at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Emmen away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +1 |
| 16 |
| 5 | MVV | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | FC OSS | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 7 |