PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Germany - 2. Bundesliga
Final score Eintracht Braunschweig 1, Holstein Kiel 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Eintracht Braunschweig win 36%, Draw 25%, Holstein Kiel win 39%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchEintracht Braunschweig host Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga, Germany.
Our model gives Eintracht Braunschweig a 36% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Holstein Kiel 39%.
The model expects Eintracht Braunschweig to score 1.5 goals and Holstein Kiel 1.6.
Eintracht Braunschweig have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Holstein Kiel have won 0 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 2. Bundesliga, before kick-off.
Eintracht Braunschweig sit 15th with 4 points; Holstein Kiel sit 16th with 4. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of Eintracht Braunschweig.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Eintracht Braunschweig at home and Holstein Kiel away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Eintracht Braunschweig | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 16th |
| Points per game | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 1.67 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 4 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 2 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 2 |
Eintracht Braunschweig at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Holstein Kiel away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +7 |
| 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 4 |