PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Switzerland - Challenge League
Final score Étoile Carouge 0, Yverdon Sport 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Étoile Carouge win 28%, Draw 27%, Yverdon Sport win 45%.
Étoile Carouge host Yverdon Sport in the Challenge League, Switzerland.
Our model gives Étoile Carouge a 28% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Yverdon Sport 45%.
The model expects Étoile Carouge to score 1.2 goals and Yverdon Sport 1.5.
Étoile Carouge have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Yverdon Sport have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Challenge League, before kick-off.
Étoile Carouge sit 8th with 9 points; Yverdon Sport sit 3rd with 16. A gap of 9 in goal difference, in favour of Yverdon Sport.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Winterthur | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | SC Kriens | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 7 | Rapperswil | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Étoile Carouge | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | FC WIL 1900 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Étoile Carouge at home and Yverdon Sport away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 | 0.80 | 0 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 | 0.83 | 1 | 3 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Étoile Carouge at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Yverdon Sport away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Étoile Carouge | Yverdon Sport |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 3rd |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.78 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 9 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Winterthur | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | SC Kriens | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Aarau | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Étoile Carouge | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | FC WIL 1900 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 2 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 7 |
| 5 |
| +2 |
| 8 |
| 1.60 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 11 | 1.83 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|