PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg
Final score ETSV Hamburg 4, Niendorfer TSV 6.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: ETSV Hamburg win 61%, Draw 20%, Niendorfer TSV win 19%.
ETSV Hamburg host Niendorfer TSV in the Oberliga - Hamburg, Germany.
Our model gives ETSV Hamburg a 61% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Niendorfer TSV 19%.
The model expects ETSV Hamburg to score 2.4 goals and Niendorfer TSV 1.4.
ETSV Hamburg have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Niendorfer TSV have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Oberliga - Hamburg, before kick-off.
ETSV Hamburg sit 10th with 13 points; Niendorfer TSV sit 9th with 14. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of ETSV Hamburg; ETSV Hamburg have played 2 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Niendorfer TSV | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | ETSV Hamburg | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 11 | Sasel | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 13 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then ETSV Hamburg at home and Niendorfer TSV away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 6 | 1.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 9 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (4) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (4) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
ETSV Hamburg at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Niendorfer TSV away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | ETSV Hamburg | Niendorfer TSV |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 9th |
| Points per game | 1.63 | 1.40 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.50 | 1.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tus Dassendorf | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +18 | 23 |
| 2 | Paloma | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 22 |
| 3 | Victoria Hamburg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 19 |
| 4 | Altona 93 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | HT16 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 16 |
| 6 | Pinneberg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Buchholz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Niendorfer TSV | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | ETSV Hamburg | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 11 | Sasel | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Süderelbe | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 12 |
| 13 | HEBC | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Nikola Tesla | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 11 |
| 15 | Teutonia Ottensen | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Concordia | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Harksheide | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Norderstedt II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -23 | 0 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 8 |
| 7 |
| +1 |
| 7 |
| 1.40 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 | 1.17 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|