PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Romania - Liga III - Serie 1
Final score FC Bacău II 2, CSM FC Vaslui 4.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: FC Bacău II win 27%, Draw 24%, CSM FC Vaslui win 50%.
FC Bacău II host CSM FC Vaslui in the Liga III - Serie 1, Romania.
Our model gives FC Bacău II a 27% chance of winning, a draw 24% and CSM FC Vaslui 50%.
The model expects FC Bacău II to score 1.4 goals and CSM FC Vaslui 1.8.
FC Bacău II have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; CSM FC Vaslui have won 5 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga III - Serie 1, before kick-off.
FC Bacău II sit 6th with 11 points; CSM FC Vaslui sit 1st with 19. A gap of 14 in goal difference, in favour of CSM FC Vaslui.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM FC Vaslui | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 19 |
| 2 | USV Iaşi | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 5 | Târgu Secuiesc | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Bacău II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Bradul Putna | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 10 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then FC Bacău II at home and CSM FC Vaslui away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 5 |
FC Bacău II at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
CSM FC Vaslui away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | FC Bacău II | CSM FC Vaslui |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 1st |
| Points per game | 1.57 | 2.71 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM FC Vaslui | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 19 |
| 2 | USV Iaşi | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 3 | CSM Adjud | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | Aerostar Bacau | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Târgu Secuiesc | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Bacău II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Bradul Putna | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 10 |
| 8 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Gheorgheni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Viitorul Onesti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 2 |
| 12 | Paşcani | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 13 |
| 4 |
| +9 |
| 15 |
| 3.00 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 16 | 2.67 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|