PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Denmark - Superliga
Final score FC Nordsjaelland 0, Odense 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: FC Nordsjaelland win 51%, Draw 25%, Odense win 23%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchFC Nordsjaelland host Odense in the Superliga, Denmark.
Our model gives FC Nordsjaelland a 51% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Odense 23%.
The model expects FC Nordsjaelland to score 1.7 goals and Odense 1.2.
FC Nordsjaelland have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Odense have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Superliga, before kick-off.
FC Nordsjaelland sit 4th with 17 points; Odense sit 9th with 9. A gap of 10 in goal difference, in favour of FC Nordsjaelland.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then FC Nordsjaelland at home and Odense away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | FC Nordsjaelland | Odense |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 9th |
| Points per game | 1.89 | 1.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 3 | Viborg | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | Brondby | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Odense | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Lyngby | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 7 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Viborg | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 9 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 10 | 1.67 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | 1.20 | 0 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
FC Nordsjaelland at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Odense away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +4 |
| 17 |
| 5 | Brondby | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 13 |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Silkeborg | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Odense | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Lyngby | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Aarhus | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 5 |