PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Russia - Premier League
Final score FC Rostov 1, Akron 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: FC Rostov win 34%, Draw 27%, Akron win 39%.
FC Rostov host Akron in the Premier League, Russia.
Our model gives FC Rostov a 34% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Akron 39%.
The model expects FC Rostov to score 1.3 goals and Akron 1.4.
FC Rostov have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Akron have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Premier League, before kick-off.
FC Rostov sit 13th with 8 points; Akron sit 12th with 8. They are level on goal difference.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | FC Orenburg | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Akron | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Rostov | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 7 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then FC Rostov at home and Akron away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 3 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 3 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
FC Rostov at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Akron away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | FC Rostov | Akron |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 12th |
| Points per game | 0.89 | 0.89 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 1.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 1.83 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Krasnodar | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 19 |
| 4 | Dynamo | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Akhmat | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Orenburg | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Akron | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Rostov | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moskva | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 3 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 7 |
| 8 |
| -1 |
| 6 |
| 1.20 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 | 1.17 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|