PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchOur public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Romania - Liga III - Serie 6
Final score Filiaşi 0, Minerul Lupeni 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Filiaşi win 34%, Draw 27%, Minerul Lupeni win 39%.
Filiaşi host Minerul Lupeni in the Liga III - Serie 6, Romania.
Our model gives Filiaşi a 34% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Minerul Lupeni 39%.
The model expects Filiaşi to score 1.3 goals and Minerul Lupeni 1.4.
Filiaşi have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Minerul Lupeni have won 4 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga III - Serie 6, before kick-off.
Filiaşi sit 6th with 11 points; Minerul Lupeni sit 2nd with 15. A gap of 6 in goal difference, in favour of Minerul Lupeni.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 16 |
| 2 | Minerul Lupeni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | Jiul Petroşani | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Filiaşi | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Unirea Bascov | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Filiaşi at home and Minerul Lupeni away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 8 | 1.60 | 0 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 5 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
Filiaşi at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Minerul Lupeni away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Filiaşi | Minerul Lupeni |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 2nd |
| Points per game | 1.57 | 2.14 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 4 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 9 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 16 |
| 2 | Minerul Lupeni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | CS U Craiova II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Jiul Petroşani | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Filiaşi | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Unirea Bascov | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Păușești | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Academica Balș | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Oltul Curtişoara | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Petrolul Hartiesti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -25 | 0 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 7 |
| 3 |
| +4 |
| 9 |
| 1.80 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 12 | 2.00 | 4 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|