PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Austria - 2. Liga
Final score First Vienna 3, SKN ST. Polten 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: First Vienna win 43%, Draw 28%, SKN ST. Polten win 29%.
First Vienna host SKN ST. Polten in the 2. Liga, Austria.
Our model gives First Vienna a 43% chance of winning, a draw 28% and SKN ST. Polten 29%.
The model expects First Vienna to score 1.4 goals and SKN ST. Polten 1.1.
First Vienna have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; SKN ST. Polten have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 2. Liga, before kick-off.
First Vienna sit 2nd with 16 points; SKN ST. Polten sit 10th with 9. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of First Vienna.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 18 |
| 2 | First Vienna | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Floridsdorfer AC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | SKN ST. Polten | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Admira Wacker | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then First Vienna at home and SKN ST. Polten away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 13 | 2.60 | 3 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 | 2.17 | 3 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
First Vienna at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
SKN ST. Polten away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | First Vienna | SKN ST. Polten |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 10th |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 1.29 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 9 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 18 |
| 2 | First Vienna | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Floridsdorfer AC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | SKU Amstetten | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Wacker Innsbruck | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 7 | Austria Salzburg | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | FC Liefering | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | SKN ST. Polten | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Admira Wacker | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Voitsberg | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Sturm Graz II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Rapid Wien II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | WSPG Wels | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 3 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 6 |
| 4 |
| +2 |
| 9 |
| 1.80 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 9 | 1.50 | 1 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|