PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Romania - Liga III - Serie 3
Final score Flacăra Moreni 3, Viitorul Corbeanca 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Flacăra Moreni win 64%, Draw 21%, Viitorul Corbeanca win 15%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchFlacăra Moreni host Viitorul Corbeanca in the Liga III - Serie 3, Romania.
Our model gives Flacăra Moreni a 64% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Viitorul Corbeanca 15%.
The model expects Flacăra Moreni to score 2.1 goals and Viitorul Corbeanca 1.0.
Flacăra Moreni have won 5 of their last 6 league matches; Viitorul Corbeanca have won 0 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga III - Serie 3, before kick-off.
Flacăra Moreni sit 1st with 19 points; Viitorul Corbeanca sit 9th with 6. A gap of 24 in goal difference, in favour of Flacăra Moreni.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Flacăra Moreni at home and Viitorul Corbeanca away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Flacăra Moreni | Viitorul Corbeanca |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 9th |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 0.86 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 3.50 | 0.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 19 |
| 2 | Tunari | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 8 | Pucioasa | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Viitorul Corbeanca | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Urban Titu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 6 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 19 |
| 2 | Tunari | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 3 | Berca | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | Blejoi | 7 | – |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | +13 | 13 | 2.60 | 2 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 3 | +18 | 16 | 2.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 2 | 0.40 | 1 | 4 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 3 | 0.50 | 2 | 5 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 3 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 3 |
Flacăra Moreni at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Viitorul Corbeanca away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +7 |
| 11 |
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Voința Crevedia | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Pucioasa | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Viitorul Corbeanca | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Urban Titu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Râmnicu Sărat | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 2 |