PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein
Final score Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2, Büderich 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Fortuna Düsseldorf II win 59%, Draw 19%, Büderich win 23%.
Fortuna Düsseldorf II host Büderich in the Oberliga - Niederrhein, Germany.
Our model gives Fortuna Düsseldorf II a 59% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Büderich 23%.
The model expects Fortuna Düsseldorf II to score 2.6 goals and Büderich 1.7.
Fortuna Düsseldorf II have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Büderich have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Oberliga - Niederrhein, before kick-off.
Fortuna Düsseldorf II sit 3rd with 16 points; Büderich sit 16th with 5. A gap of 24 in goal difference, in favour of Fortuna Düsseldorf II.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 16 |
| 4 | SC St. Tönis | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 15 | SW Essen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Büderich | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 5 |
| 17 | Holzheimer SG | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Fortuna Düsseldorf II at home and Büderich away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 | 1.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 |
Fortuna Düsseldorf II at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Büderich away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | Büderich |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 16th |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.63 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 3.17 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 4 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schonnebeck | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +21 | 22 |
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 16 |
| 4 | SC St. Tönis | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | SF Baumberg | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | KFC Uerdingen 05 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 13 |
| 7 | Sonsbeck | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 8 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | BW Dingden | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Solingen-Wald | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Germania Ratingen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Monheim | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 13 | Scherpenberg | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Wuppertaler SV | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 15 | SW Essen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Büderich | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 5 |
| 17 | Holzheimer SG | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 4 |
| 18 | Meerbusch | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 2 |
| 0 |
| 5 |
| 4 |
| 19 |
| -15 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | 0.50 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|