PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Botswana - Premier League
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Gaborone United win 65%, Draw 24%, Morupule Wanderers win 11%.
Gaborone United host Morupule Wanderers in the Premier League, Botswana.
Our model gives Gaborone United a 65% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Morupule Wanderers 11%.
The model expects Gaborone United to score 1.7 goals and Morupule Wanderers 0.7.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Premier League, before kick-off.
Gaborone United sit 11th with 3 points; Morupule Wanderers sit 13th with 2. A gap of 3 in goal difference, in favour of Gaborone United; Gaborone United have played 2 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Centre Chiefs | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Gaborone United | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Orapa United | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Morupule Wanderers | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Matebele | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 0 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Gaborone United at home and Morupule Wanderers away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 |
Gaborone United at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Morupule Wanderers away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Gaborone United | Morupule Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 13th |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.67 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 1 and 3) | 2.00 | 0.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 1 and 3) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonota | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 8 |
| 2 | Sua Flamingoes | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 8 |
| 3 | Police XI | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 4 | Nico United | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 5 | TAFIC | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 6 | Extension Gunners | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Enesia | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 8 | Township Rollers | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 4 |
| 9 | BDF XI | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Centre Chiefs | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Gaborone United | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Orapa United | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Morupule Wanderers | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Matebele | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 0 |
| 15 | Prisons XI | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 0 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| -2 |
| 2 |
| 0.67 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|