PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Iraq - Iraqi League
Final score Gharraf 0, Al-Jolan SC 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Gharraf win 49%, Draw 30%, Al-Jolan SC win 21%.
Gharraf host Al-Jolan SC in the Iraqi League, Iraq.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchOur model gives Gharraf a 49% chance of winning, a draw 30% and Al-Jolan SC 21%.
The model expects Gharraf to score 1.3 goals and Al-Jolan SC 0.9.
Gharraf have won 0 of their last 6 league matches; Al-Jolan SC have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Iraqi League, before kick-off.
Gharraf sit 19th with 5 points; Al-Jolan SC sit 10th with 10. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Al-Jolan SC.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Gharraf at home and Al-Jolan SC away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Gharraf | Al-Jolan SC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 10th |
| Points per game | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.33 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 9 | Al Talaba | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al-Jolan SC | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Diyala | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 9 |
| 18 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 5 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawra'a | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 18 |
| 4 | Al Shorta | 9 | – |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 4 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 0 |
Gharraf at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Al-Jolan SC away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +5 |
| 16 |
| 5 | Naft | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 15 |
| 6 | Newroz | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Talaba | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al-Jolan SC | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Diyala | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Minaa Basra | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Zakho | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Naft Maysan | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Mosul | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 5 |