PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina
Final score Gimnasia L.P. 1, Atletico Tucuman 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Gimnasia L.P. win 49%, Draw 28%, Atletico Tucuman win 23%.
Gimnasia L.P. host Atletico Tucuman in the Liga Profesional Argentina, Argentina.
Our model gives Gimnasia L.P. a 49% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Atletico Tucuman 23%.
The model expects Gimnasia L.P. to score 1.5 goals and Atletico Tucuman 1.0.
Gimnasia L.P. have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Atletico Tucuman have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga Profesional Argentina, before kick-off.
Gimnasia L.P. sit 8th with 47 points; Atletico Tucuman sit 25th with 27. A gap of 4 in goal difference, in favour of Gimnasia L.P.; Gimnasia L.P. have played 2 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Velez Sarsfield | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 49 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P. | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 47 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 46 |
| 24 | Banfield | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 28 |
| 25 | Atletico Tucuman | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 27 |
| 26 | Platense | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Gimnasia L.P. at home and Atletico Tucuman away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 | 1.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 9 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
Gimnasia L.P. at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Atletico Tucuman away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Gimnasia L.P. | Atletico Tucuman |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 25th |
| Points per game | 1.62 | 1.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 0.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 26 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgrano Cordoba | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 55 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 55 |
| 3 | Independ. Rivadavia | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 52 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 51 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 51 |
| 6 | River Plate | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 49 |
| 7 | Velez Sarsfield | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 49 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P. | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 47 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 46 |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 44 |
| 11 | Huracan | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 43 |
| 12 | Lanus | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 41 |
| 13 | Independiente | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 41 |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 40 |
| 15 | Union Santa Fe | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 37 |
| 16 | Racing Club | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 36 |
| 17 | Barracas Central | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 36 |
| 18 | Gimnasia M. | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 36 |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 35 |
| 20 | Talleres Cordoba | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 34 |
| 21 | San Lorenzo | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 34 |
| 22 | Tigre | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 32 |
| 23 | Newells Old Boys | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 32 |
| 24 | Banfield | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 28 |
| 25 | Atletico Tucuman | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 27 |
| 26 | Platense | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 26 |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -16 | 25 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 22 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 16 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -28 | 11 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 5 |
| 7 |
| -2 |
| 4 |
| 0.80 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 | 0.83 | 2 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|