PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Rwanda - National Soccer League
Final score Gorilla 1, Rayon Sports 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Gorilla win 30%, Draw 34%, Rayon Sports win 36%.
Gorilla host Rayon Sports in the National Soccer League, Rwanda.
Our model gives Gorilla a 30% chance of winning, a draw 34% and Rayon Sports 36%.
The model expects Gorilla to score 0.9 goals and Rayon Sports 1.0.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the National Soccer League, before kick-off.
Gorilla sit 9th with 3 points; Rayon Sports sit 13th with 1. They are level on goal difference; Gorilla have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Police | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Gorilla | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Musanze | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sunrise | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Rayon Sports | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Al Merreikh | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 1 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Gorilla at home and Rayon Sports away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Gorilla at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Rayon Sports away: Data unavailable.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Gorilla | Rayon Sports |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 13th |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 2 and 1) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 2 and 1) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gicumbi | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 9 |
| 2 | Etincelles | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Amagaju | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 4 |
| 4 | APR | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Mukura | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | Marines | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Police | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Gorilla | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Musanze | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Kiyovu Sports | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Sunrise | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Rayon Sports | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Al Merreikh | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Etoile de l'Est | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | AS Kigali | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gasogi United | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 0 |
| 1.00 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
|---|
| Away, last 10: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
|---|