PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Poland - III Liga - Group 3
Final score Górnik Polkowice 4, Stilon Gorzów 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Górnik Polkowice win 64%, Draw 20%, Stilon Gorzów win 16%.
Górnik Polkowice host Stilon Gorzów in the III Liga - Group 3, Poland.
Our model gives Górnik Polkowice a 64% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Stilon Gorzów 16%.
The model expects Górnik Polkowice to score 2.2 goals and Stilon Gorzów 1.2.
Górnik Polkowice have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Stilon Gorzów have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the III Liga - Group 3, before kick-off.
Górnik Polkowice sit 9th with 15 points; Stilon Gorzów sit 7th with 16. A gap of 3 in goal difference, in favour of Stilon Gorzów.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Stilon Gorzów | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Miedź Legnica II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 14 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Górnik Polkowice at home and Stilon Gorzów away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | 0.80 | 0 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 1.17 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Górnik Polkowice at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Stilon Gorzów away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Górnik Polkowice | Stilon Gorzów |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 7th |
| Points per game | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Katowice | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 24 |
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 23 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 19 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Stilon Gorzów | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Miedź Legnica II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 14 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Kluczbork | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Stal Brzeg | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 11 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Ślęza Wrocław | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Rakow II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 8 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 8 |
| 7 |
| +1 |
| 8 |
| 1.60 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 9 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|