PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· China - Super League
Final score Hangzhou Greentown 2, SHANGHAI SIPG 4.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Hangzhou Greentown win 42%, Draw 23%, SHANGHAI SIPG win 35%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchHangzhou Greentown host SHANGHAI SIPG in the Super League, China.
Our model gives Hangzhou Greentown a 42% chance of winning, a draw 23% and SHANGHAI SIPG 35%.
The model expects Hangzhou Greentown to score 1.8 goals and SHANGHAI SIPG 1.7.
Hangzhou Greentown have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; SHANGHAI SIPG have won 4 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Super League, before kick-off.
Hangzhou Greentown sit 9th with 36 points; SHANGHAI SIPG sit 6th with 38. A gap of 5 in goal difference, in favour of SHANGHAI SIPG.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Hangzhou Greentown at home and SHANGHAI SIPG away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Hangzhou Greentown | SHANGHAI SIPG |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 6th |
| Points per game | 1.38 | 1.46 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.50 | 1.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 5 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 40 |
| 6 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 38 |
| 7 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 38 |
| 8 | Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 38 |
| 9 | Hangzhou Greentown | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 36 |
| 10 | Tianjin Teda | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 35 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | +21 | 52 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shandong Luneng | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 43 |
| 4 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 7 | 1.17 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 11 | 2.20 | 2 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 14 | 2.33 | 2 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
Hangzhou Greentown at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
SHANGHAI SIPG away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +6 |
| 41 |
| 5 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 40 |
| 6 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 38 |
| 7 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 38 |
| 8 | Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 38 |
| 9 | Hangzhou Greentown | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 36 |
| 10 | Tianjin Teda | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 35 |
| 11 | Henan Jianye | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 26 |
| 15 | Shenyang Urban | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 25 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -19 | 21 |