PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg
Final score Harksheide 3, Norderstedt II 3.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Harksheide win 58%, Draw 20%, Norderstedt II win 22%.
Harksheide host Norderstedt II in the Oberliga - Hamburg, Germany.
Our model gives Harksheide a 58% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Norderstedt II 22%.
The model expects Harksheide to score 2.3 goals and Norderstedt II 1.5.
Harksheide have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Norderstedt II have won 0 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Oberliga - Hamburg, before kick-off.
Harksheide sit 17th with 7 points; Norderstedt II sit 18th with 0. A gap of 14 in goal difference, in favour of Harksheide; Harksheide have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Concordia | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Harksheide | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Norderstedt II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -23 | 0 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Harksheide at home and Norderstedt II away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 |
Harksheide at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Norderstedt II away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Harksheide | Norderstedt II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 18th |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 0.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 3.33 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tus Dassendorf | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +18 | 23 |
| 2 | Paloma | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 22 |
| 3 | Victoria Hamburg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 19 |
| 4 | Altona 93 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | HT16 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 16 |
| 6 | Pinneberg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Buchholz | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Niendorfer TSV | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | ETSV Hamburg | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 11 | Sasel | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Süderelbe | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 12 |
| 13 | HEBC | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Nikola Tesla | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 11 |
| 15 | Teutonia Ottensen | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Concordia | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Harksheide | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Norderstedt II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -23 | 0 |
| 0 |
| 5 |
| 4 |
| 17 |
| -13 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|