PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Final score Huarte 0, Gazte Berriak 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Huarte win 56%, Draw 27%, Gazte Berriak win 17%.
Huarte host Gazte Berriak in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15, Spain.
Our model gives Huarte a 56% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Gazte Berriak 17%.
The model expects Huarte to score 1.5 goals and Gazte Berriak 0.8.
Huarte have won 0 of their last 5 league matches; Gazte Berriak have won 3 of 5.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15, before kick-off.
Huarte sit 14th with 4 points; Gazte Berriak sit 4th with 10. A gap of 3 in goal difference, in favour of Gazte Berriak.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mutilvera | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 11 |
| 4 | Gazte Berriak | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | Aoiz | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 9 |
| 13 | Cortes | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Huarte | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Pamplona | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Huarte at home and Gazte Berriak away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 0.80 | 3 | 3 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 0.80 | 3 | 3 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 2 | 2 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 2 | 2 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
Huarte at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Gazte Berriak away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Huarte | Gazte Berriak |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 4th |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 15 |
| 2 | Beti Kozkor | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 3 | Mutilvera | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 11 |
| 4 | Gazte Berriak | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | Aoiz | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | Avance Ezcabarte | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 8 |
| 7 | Subiza | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 8 | San Juan | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 9 | Txantrea | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Doneztebe FT | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 5 |
| 11 | Valle Egüés | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Beti Onak | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Cortes | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Huarte | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Pamplona | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Bidezarra | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | Cantolagua | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | Cirbonero | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 2 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 6 |
| 4 |
| +2 |
| 10 |
| 2.00 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 10 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|