PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Final score Ibiza 1, Real Madrid II 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Ibiza win 60%, Draw 26%, Real Madrid II win 13%.
Ibiza host Real Madrid II in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain.
Our model gives Ibiza a 60% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Real Madrid II 13%.
The model expects Ibiza to score 1.6 goals and Real Madrid II 0.7.
Ibiza have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Real Madrid II have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2, before kick-off.
Ibiza sit 9th with 9 points; Real Madrid II sit 12th with 8. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Real Madrid II.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Antequera | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ibiza | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Huesca | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Atlético Madrid II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 8 |
| 12 | Real Madrid II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
| 13 | Sant Andreu | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Ibiza at home and Real Madrid II away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | 2 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 1.50 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Ibiza at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Real Madrid II away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Ibiza | Real Madrid II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 12th |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 8 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarreal II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Murcia | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 11 |
| 6 | Real Jaén | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Hércules | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Antequera | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ibiza | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Huesca | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Atlético Madrid II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 8 |
| 12 | Real Madrid II | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
| 13 | Sant Andreu | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Águilas | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Europa Fc | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Teruel | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 2 |
| 20 | Juventud Torremolinos | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 1 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 7 |
| 6 |
| +1 |
| 7 |
| 1.40 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 2 |
|---|