PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Final score IFK Skövde 0, Skara 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: IFK Skövde win 33%, Draw 25%, Skara win 42%.
IFK Skövde host Skara in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, Sweden.
Our model gives IFK Skövde a 33% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Skara 42%.
The model expects IFK Skövde to score 1.4 goals and Skara 1.6.
IFK Skövde have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Skara have won 4 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, before kick-off.
IFK Skövde sit 3rd with 47 points; Skara sit 2nd with 53. A gap of 8 in goal difference, in favour of Skara.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +40 | 63 |
| 2 | Skara | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +25 | 53 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +17 | 47 |
| 4 | Ahlafors | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +27 | 43 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then IFK Skövde at home and Skara away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 10 | 2.00 | 4 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 | 2.17 | 4 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 9 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 9 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 |
IFK Skövde at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Skara away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | IFK Skövde | Skara |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Points per game | 1.96 | 2.21 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 2.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +40 | 63 |
| 2 | Skara | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +25 | 53 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +17 | 47 |
| 4 | Ahlafors | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +27 | 43 |
| 5 | Grebbestad | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 39 |
| 6 | Herrestads | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 37 |
| 7 | Stenungsund | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 33 |
| 8 | Vänersborgs FK | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Lidköping | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 27 |
| 10 | Motala | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 26 |
| 11 | Kumla | 25 | – | – | – | – | – | -19 | 26 |
| 12 | Tord | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 21 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | -23 | 13 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | -45 | 9 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 14 |
| 5 |
| +9 |
| 12 |
| 2.40 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 13 | 2.17 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|