PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Romania - Liga III - Serie 4
Final score Înainte Modelu 2, Dunarea Calarasi 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Înainte Modelu win 50%, Draw 24%, Dunarea Calarasi win 26%.
Înainte Modelu host Dunarea Calarasi in the Liga III - Serie 4, Romania.
Our model gives Înainte Modelu a 50% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Dunarea Calarasi 26%.
The model expects Înainte Modelu to score 1.8 goals and Dunarea Calarasi 1.3.
Înainte Modelu have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Dunarea Calarasi have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga III - Serie 4, before kick-off.
Înainte Modelu sit 3rd with 13 points; Dunarea Calarasi sit 8th with 10. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Înainte Modelu.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Agigea | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Înainte Modelu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 4 | Axiopolis | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Dunarea Calarasi | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Unirea Braniştea | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Înainte Modelu at home and Dunarea Calarasi away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | 2 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 12 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
Înainte Modelu at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Dunarea Calarasi away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Înainte Modelu | Dunarea Calarasi |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 8th |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 1.43 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.33 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| 9 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agricola Borcea | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 18 |
| 2 | Agigea | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Înainte Modelu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 4 | Axiopolis | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Sporting Lieşti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 12 |
| 6 | Progresul Fundulea | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 7 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Dunarea Calarasi | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Unirea Braniştea | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | Gloria Băneasa | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 4 |
| 11 | Portul Constanta | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Oţelul II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 3 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 7 |
| 6 |
| +1 |
| 10 |
| 2.00 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 | 1.67 | 2 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|