PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina
Final score Instituto Cordoba 2, Boca Juniors 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Instituto Cordoba win 27%, Draw 28%, Boca Juniors win 44%.
Instituto Cordoba host Boca Juniors in the Liga Profesional Argentina, Argentina.
Our model gives Instituto Cordoba a 27% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Boca Juniors 44%.
The model expects Instituto Cordoba to score 1.1 goals and Boca Juniors 1.4.
Instituto Cordoba have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Boca Juniors have won 4 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga Profesional Argentina, before kick-off.
Instituto Cordoba sit 9th with 46 points; Boca Juniors sit 4th with 51. A gap of 10 in goal difference, in favour of Boca Juniors; Instituto Cordoba have played 1 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Independ. Rivadavia | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 52 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 51 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 51 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P. | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 47 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 46 |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 28 | – | – | – | – | – |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Instituto Cordoba at home and Boca Juniors away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 12 | 2.40 | 1 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 13 | 2.17 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 9 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 9 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 |
Instituto Cordoba at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Boca Juniors away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Instituto Cordoba | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 4th |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.82 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| +13 |
| 44 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgrano Cordoba | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 55 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 55 |
| 3 | Independ. Rivadavia | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 52 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 51 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 51 |
| 6 | River Plate | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 49 |
| 7 | Velez Sarsfield | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 49 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P. | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 47 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 46 |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 44 |
| 11 | Huracan | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 43 |
| 12 | Lanus | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 41 |
| 13 | Independiente | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 41 |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 40 |
| 15 | Union Santa Fe | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 37 |
| 16 | Racing Club | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 36 |
| 17 | Barracas Central | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 36 |
| 18 | Gimnasia M. | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 36 |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 35 |
| 20 | Talleres Cordoba | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 34 |
| 21 | San Lorenzo | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 34 |
| 22 | Tigre | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 32 |
| 23 | Newells Old Boys | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 32 |
| 24 | Banfield | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 28 |
| 25 | Atletico Tucuman | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 27 |
| 26 | Platense | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 26 |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -16 | 25 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 22 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 16 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -28 | 11 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 11 |
| 3 |
| +8 |
| 13 |
| 2.60 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 14 | 2.33 | 3 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 0 |
|---|