PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Costa Rica - Primera División
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Inter San Carlos win 45%, Draw 28%, Perez Zeledon win 27%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchInter San Carlos host Perez Zeledon in the Primera División, Costa Rica.
Our model gives Inter San Carlos a 45% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Perez Zeledon 27%.
The model expects Inter San Carlos to score 1.4 goals and Perez Zeledon 1.1.
Inter San Carlos have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Perez Zeledon have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Fri 9 Oct, 00:19 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Primera División, before kick-off.
Inter San Carlos sit 6th with 14 points; Perez Zeledon sit 8th with 8. A gap of 4 in goal difference, in favour of Inter San Carlos.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.
How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.
Insufficient historical data: fewer than 3 meetings.
Record shown: August 2026.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Inter San Carlos at home and Perez Zeledon away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Inter San Carlos | Perez Zeledon |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 8th |
| Points per game | 1.56 | 0.89 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10) | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 |
Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 5 | LD Alajuelense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Inter San Carlos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Puntarenas FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 8 | Perez Zeledon | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 9 | CS Herediano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | CS Cartagines | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 | San Carlos | 9 | 5 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 7 | 1.40 | 2 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 15 | 1.50 | 5 | 3 |
| Home, last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 11 | 2.20 | 3 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (8) | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 18 | 2.25 | 5 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | 0.80 | 0 | 2 |
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 | 0.90 | 2 | 4 |
| Away, last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Away, last 10 (10) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 5 | 0.50 | 1 | 6 |
| 0 |
| 4 |
| 8 |
| 9 |
| -1 |
| 15 |
| 5 | LD Alajuelense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Inter San Carlos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Puntarenas FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 8 | Perez Zeledon | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 9 | CS Herediano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Escorpiones Belén | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 4 |