PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Burundi - Ligue A
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Inter Star win 61%, Draw 24%, Panthere Noir win 14%.
Inter Star host Panthere Noir in the Ligue A, Burundi.
Our model gives Inter Star a 61% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Panthere Noir 14%.
The model expects Inter Star to score 1.8 goals and Panthere Noir 0.8.
Inter Star have won 0 of their last 4 league matches; Panthere Noir have won 0 of 4.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Ligue A, before kick-off.
Inter Star sit 14th with 2 points; Panthere Noir sit 15th with 1. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Inter Star.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Musongati | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Inter Star | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Panthere Noir | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Young Star | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 1 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Inter Star at home and Panthere Noir away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 0 |
Inter Star at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Panthere Noir away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Inter Star | Panthere Noir |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 15th |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 4 and 4) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 4 and 4) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Muzinga | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 10 |
| 3 | Aigle Noir | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | Le Messager Ngozi | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Ngozi City | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | Rukinzo | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 8 |
| 7 | Vital'O | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Olympic Star | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Flambeau du Centre | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Kayanza United | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Bumamuru | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Never Give Up Academy | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Musongati | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Inter Star | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Panthere Noir | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Young Star | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 1 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| -3 |
| 1 |
| 0.25 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 |
|---|