PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Algeria - Ligue 2
Final score IRB Nezla 2, MO Constantine 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: IRB Nezla win 36%, Draw 34%, MO Constantine win 31%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchIRB Nezla host MO Constantine in the Ligue 2, Algeria.
Our model gives IRB Nezla a 36% chance of winning, a draw 34% and MO Constantine 31%.
The model expects IRB Nezla to score 1.0 goals and MO Constantine 0.9.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Ligue 2, before kick-off.
IRB Nezla sit 21st with 3 points; MO Constantine sit 9th with 5. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of MO Constantine; IRB Nezla have played 1 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then IRB Nezla at home and MO Constantine away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | IRB Nezla | MO Constantine |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 21st | 9th |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 2 and 3) | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 2 and 3) | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 8 | Azazga | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | MO Constantine | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 10 | MSP Batna | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 20 | WA Tlemcen | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | IRB Nezla | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 22 | Koléa | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RC Kouba | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Blida | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | MC Saida | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | Usm El Harrach | 4 | – |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 2 | 2 |
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 1.67 | 2 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 2 | 2 |
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.00 | 2 | 2 |
IRB Nezla at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
MO Constantine away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +1 |
| 7 |
| 5 | USM Annaba | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 6 | JSM Skikda | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | NC Magra | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Azazga | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | MO Constantine | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 10 | MSP Batna | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 11 | Khroub | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 12 | MO Bejaia | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 4 |
| 13 | WA Mostaganem | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Mostaganem | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Paradou AC | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Nrb Beni Oulbene | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Sidi Benali | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | ASM Oran | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Hussein Dey | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | WA Tlemcen | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | IRB Nezla | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 22 | Koléa | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | GC Mascara | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | US Chaouia | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 2 |
| 25 | JS Jijel | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | Teleghma | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 27 | CA Batna | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 28 | El Bayadh | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Tiaret | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 1 |
| 30 | CR Béni Thour | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 0 |
| 31 | Taghit | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 0 |