PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Israel - Liga Leumit
Final score Ironi Modi'in 1, Hapoel Afula 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Ironi Modi'in win 38%, Draw 25%, Hapoel Afula win 37%.
Ironi Modi'in host Hapoel Afula in the Liga Leumit, Israel.
Our model gives Ironi Modi'in a 38% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Hapoel Afula 37%.
The model expects Ironi Modi'in to score 1.5 goals and Hapoel Afula 1.5.
Ironi Modi'in have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Hapoel Afula have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga Leumit, before kick-off.
Ironi Modi'in sit 11th with 8 points; Hapoel Afula sit 6th with 14. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Hapoel Afula.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Ra'anana | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 15 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Ironi Modi'in | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Maccabi Herzliya | 8 | – | – | – | – | – |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Ironi Modi'in at home and Hapoel Afula away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | 0.80 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | 0.83 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
Ironi Modi'in at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Hapoel Afula away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Ironi Modi'in | Hapoel Afula |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 6th |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 2.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| -3 |
| 8 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashdod | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 20 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Kiryat Yam SC | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 15 |
| 5 | Hapoel Ra'anana | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 15 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Kafr Qasim | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 9 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Ironi Modi'in | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Maccabi Herzliya | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Acre | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -23 | 0 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 10 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 5 |
| 1.00 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|