PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Indonesia - Liga 1
Final score Isenmulang Kalteng 0, Persebaya Surabaya 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Isenmulang Kalteng win 16%, Draw 24%, Persebaya Surabaya win 60%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchIsenmulang Kalteng host Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1, Indonesia.
Our model gives Isenmulang Kalteng a 16% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Persebaya Surabaya 60%.
The model expects Isenmulang Kalteng to score 1.0 goals and Persebaya Surabaya 1.8.
Isenmulang Kalteng have won 0 of their last 3 league matches; Persebaya Surabaya have won 1 of 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Fri 9 Oct, 00:35 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga 1, before kick-off.
Isenmulang Kalteng sit 18th with -2 points; Persebaya Surabaya sit 10th with 5. A gap of 10 in goal difference, in favour of Persebaya Surabaya.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Isenmulang Kalteng at home and Persebaya Surabaya away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Isenmulang Kalteng | Persebaya Surabaya |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 10th |
| Points per game | -0.67 | 1.67 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10) | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10) | 1.90 | 0.60 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 |
Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 9 | Persita | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 |
| 10 | Persebaya Surabaya | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 11 | Persik Kediri | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 17 | Java United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | -2 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dewa United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 | Persepam Madura Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 | Persija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | Bali United | 3 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | 1.20 | 2 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 14 | 1.40 | 3 | 3 |
| Home, last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 | 2.60 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (9) | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 12 | +23 | 22 | 2.44 | 2 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 9 | 1.80 | 2 | 0 |
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 22 | 2.20 | 5 | 0 |
| Away, last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 2 | +11 | 9 | 1.80 | 3 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (8) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 12 | 1.50 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 6 |
| 3 |
| +3 |
| 6 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 6 | Pusamania Borneo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Arema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 5 |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 5 |
| 9 | Persita | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5 |
| 10 | Persebaya Surabaya | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 11 | Persik Kediri | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 2 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | -2 |