PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Egypt - Second League
Final score Itesalat 0, El Mansura 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Itesalat win 43%, Draw 34%, El Mansura win 23%.
Itesalat host El Mansura in the Second League, Egypt.
Our model gives Itesalat a 43% chance of winning, a draw 34% and El Mansura 23%.
The model expects Itesalat to score 1.1 goals and El Mansura 0.8.
Itesalat have won 5 of their last 6 league matches; El Mansura have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Second League, before kick-off.
Itesalat sit 4th with 15 points; El Mansura sit 9th with 11. A gap of 5 in goal difference, in favour of Itesalat.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kahraba Ismailia | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 17 |
| 4 | Itesalat | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 8 | Tersana | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | El Mansura | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | El Seka El Hadid | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Itesalat at home and El Mansura away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 | 2.40 | 3 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 15 | 2.50 | 3 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 9 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 9 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Itesalat at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
El Mansura away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Itesalat | El Mansura |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 9th |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 1.57 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 1.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 11 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masar | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 19 |
| 2 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | Kahraba Ismailia | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 17 |
| 4 | Itesalat | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | AL Nasr SC | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 13 |
| 7 | Pharco | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Tersana | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | El Mansura | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | El Seka El Hadid | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | El Dakhleya | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Tanta SC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | El Entag EL Harby | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 15 | Team | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Ismaily SC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Dayrout | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 5 |
| 18 | Proxy | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | La Viena FC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Mega Sport | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 2 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 6 |
| 4 |
| +2 |
| 8 |
| 1.60 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 1.33 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 2 |
|---|