PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· United Arab Emirates - Division 1
Final score Ittifaq 1, Al Thaid 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Ittifaq win 24%, Draw 25%, Al Thaid win 51%.
Ittifaq host Al Thaid in the Division 1, United Arab Emirates.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchOur model gives Ittifaq a 24% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Al Thaid 51%.
The model expects Ittifaq to score 1.2 goals and Al Thaid 1.7.
Ittifaq have won 0 of their last 5 league matches; Al Thaid have won 3 of 4.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Division 1, before kick-off.
Ittifaq sit 15th with 1 points; Al Thaid sit 2nd with 10. A gap of 14 in goal difference, in favour of Al Thaid; Ittifaq have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Ittifaq at home and Al Thaid away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Ittifaq | Al Thaid |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 2nd |
| Points per game | 0.20 | 2.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 4) | 0.40 | 2.75 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 4) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Thaid | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 10 |
| 3 | Dibba Al-Fujairah | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 9 |
| 14 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 2 |
| 15 | Ittifaq | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 1 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Thaid | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 10 |
| 3 | Dibba Al-Fujairah | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forte Virtus | 4 |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 3 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 10 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 10 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
Ittifaq at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Al Thaid away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +2 |
| 9 |
| 5 | Al Hamriyah | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Bataeh | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Dibba Al Hisn | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Al Fujairah SC | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 9 | Gulf United | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | Emirates Club | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Urooba | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Palm City | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Dubai City | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 2 |
| 15 | Ittifaq | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 1 |