PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Austria - Regionalliga - South
Final score Kalsdorf 1, Gleisdorf 09 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Kalsdorf win 67%, Draw 20%, Gleisdorf 09 win 14%.
Kalsdorf host Gleisdorf 09 in the Regionalliga - South, Austria.
Our model gives Kalsdorf a 67% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Gleisdorf 09 14%.
The model expects Kalsdorf to score 2.3 goals and Gleisdorf 09 1.1.
Kalsdorf have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Gleisdorf 09 have won 0 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Regionalliga - South, before kick-off.
Kalsdorf sit 6th with 17 points; Gleisdorf 09 sit 15th with 5. A gap of 14 in goal difference, in favour of Kalsdorf.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Treibach | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Kalsdorf | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Wolfsberger AC II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 15 |
| 14 | Hartberg (Am) | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Gleisdorf 09 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 5 |
| 16 | Donau Klagenfurt | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Kalsdorf at home and Gleisdorf 09 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 1.33 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 |
Kalsdorf at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Gleisdorf 09 away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Kalsdorf | Gleisdorf 09 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 15th |
| Points per game | 1.89 | 0.56 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 3 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velden | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Austria Klagenfurt | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 19 |
| 3 | Deutschlandsberger SC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | Völkermarkt | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 17 |
| 5 | Treibach | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Kalsdorf | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Wolfsberger AC II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Weiz | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | SV Lafnitz | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Allerheiligen | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 11 | Tillmitsch | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Bleiburg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Wolfsberg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 7 |
| 14 | Hartberg (Am) | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Gleisdorf 09 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 5 |
| 16 | Donau Klagenfurt | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 3 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 5 |
| 11 |
| -6 |
| 2 |
| 0.40 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 2 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|