PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest
Final score Kickers Offenbach 2, FC 08 Homburg 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Kickers Offenbach win 35%, Draw 25%, FC 08 Homburg win 40%.
Kickers Offenbach host FC 08 Homburg in the Regionalliga - SudWest, Germany.
Our model gives Kickers Offenbach a 35% chance of winning, a draw 25% and FC 08 Homburg 40%.
The model expects Kickers Offenbach to score 1.5 goals and FC 08 Homburg 1.6.
Kickers Offenbach have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; FC 08 Homburg have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Regionalliga - SudWest, before kick-off.
Kickers Offenbach sit 3rd with 19 points; FC 08 Homburg sit 7th with 15. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Kickers Offenbach.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Kickers Offenbach | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 19 |
| 4 | VfR Aalen | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Eintracht Trier | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | FC 08 Homburg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | VfR Mannheim | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Kickers Offenbach at home and FC 08 Homburg away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 | 1.20 | 0 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 | 1.17 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Kickers Offenbach at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
FC 08 Homburg away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Kickers Offenbach | FC 08 Homburg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 7th |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| 14 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 20 |
| 2 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Kickers Offenbach | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 19 |
| 4 | VfR Aalen | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 18 |
| 5 | Freiburg II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Eintracht Trier | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | FC 08 Homburg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | VfR Mannheim | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | TSV Steinbach | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | SV Sandhausen | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | FSV Frankfurt | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 12 |
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 9 |
| 17 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 5 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 7 |
| 6 |
| +1 |
| 8 |
| 1.60 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 | 1.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|