PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Final score Kornburg 1, Ingolstadt II 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Kornburg win 43%, Draw 26%, Ingolstadt II win 31%.
Kornburg host Ingolstadt II in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, Germany.
Our model gives Kornburg a 43% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Ingolstadt II 31%.
The model expects Kornburg to score 1.6 goals and Ingolstadt II 1.3.
Kornburg have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Ingolstadt II have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, before kick-off.
Kornburg sit 7th with 21 points; Ingolstadt II sit 13th with 13. A gap of 16 in goal difference, in favour of Kornburg.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fortuna Regensburg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 7 | Kornburg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 8 | Bayern Hof | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 20 |
| 12 | Ammerthal | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 14 |
| 13 | Ingolstadt II | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Weiden | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Kornburg at home and Ingolstadt II away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
Kornburg at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Ingolstadt II away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Kornburg | Ingolstadt II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 13th |
| Points per game | 1.62 | 1.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 12 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cham | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +22 | 34 |
| 2 | Würzburger FV | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 26 |
| 3 | Gebenbach | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 26 |
| 4 | Eintracht Bamberg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 24 |
| 5 | Jahn Regensburg II | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 22 |
| 6 | Fortuna Regensburg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 7 | Kornburg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 8 | Bayern Hof | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 20 |
| 9 | Stadeln | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 19 |
| 10 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 11 | Neudrossenfeld | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 16 |
| 12 | Ammerthal | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 14 |
| 13 | Ingolstadt II | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Weiden | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | DJK Bamberg | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 11 |
| 16 | Großbardorf | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 10 |
| 17 | Nordlingen | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 10 |
| 18 | ASV Neumarkt | 13 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 6 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 9 |
| -4 |
| 5 |
| 1.00 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | 0.83 | 1 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
|---|