PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Germany - Oberliga - Bremen
Final score Leher TS 7, BTS Neustadt 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Leher TS win 26%, Draw 20%, BTS Neustadt win 54%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchLeher TS host BTS Neustadt in the Oberliga - Bremen, Germany.
Our model gives Leher TS a 26% chance of winning, a draw 20% and BTS Neustadt 54%.
The model expects Leher TS to score 1.7 goals and BTS Neustadt 2.3.
Leher TS have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; BTS Neustadt have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Oberliga - Bremen, before kick-off.
Leher TS sit 13th with 5 points; BTS Neustadt sit 11th with 9. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of BTS Neustadt.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Leher TS at home and BTS Neustadt away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Leher TS | BTS Neustadt |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 11th |
| Points per game | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 10 | Schwachhausen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | BTS Neustadt | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Geestemünde | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 8 |
| 13 | Leher TS | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 5 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen III | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 4 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hemelingen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +28 | 22 |
| 2 | Blumenthaler SV | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +23 | 21 |
| 3 | Brinkumer SV | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +21 | 21 |
| 4 | OSC Bremerhaven | 8 | – |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 5 | 0.83 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 | 1.80 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 | 1.50 | 1 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
Leher TS at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
BTS Neustadt away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +27 |
| 19 |
| 5 | Aumund-Vegesack | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | Union Bremen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Eiche Horn | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 12 |
| 8 | Vatan Sport | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Grohn | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 10 |
| 10 | Schwachhausen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | BTS Neustadt | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Geestemünde | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 8 |
| 13 | Leher TS | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 5 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen III | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 4 |
| 15 | Woltmershausen | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -22 | 4 |
| 16 | Oberneuland | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -26 | 2 |