PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchFriday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Wales - Premier League
Final score Llandudno 1, Airbus UK 4.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Llandudno win 45%, Draw 25%, Airbus UK win 30%.
Llandudno host Airbus UK in the Premier League, Wales.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchOur model gives Llandudno a 45% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Airbus UK 30%.
The model expects Llandudno to score 1.7 goals and Airbus UK 1.4.
Llandudno have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Airbus UK have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Premier League, before kick-off.
Llandudno sit 10th with 16 points; Airbus UK sit 8th with 18. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of Airbus UK.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Llandudno at home and Airbus UK away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Llandudno | Airbus UK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 8th |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 12 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +33 | 34 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +20 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | – |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | 0.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 9 | 1.50 | 2 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
Llandudno at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Airbus UK away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +7 |
| 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +21 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -23 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -25 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -25 | 2 |