PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Israel - Liga Leumit
Final score Maccabi Herzliya 1, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Maccabi Herzliya win 46%, Draw 26%, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win 29%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchMaccabi Herzliya host Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in the Liga Leumit, Israel.
Our model gives Maccabi Herzliya a 46% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 29%.
The model expects Maccabi Herzliya to score 1.6 goals and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1.3.
Maccabi Herzliya have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga Leumit, before kick-off.
Maccabi Herzliya sit 12th with 8 points; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th with 7. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Maccabi Herzliya.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Maccabi Herzliya at home and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Maccabi Herzliya | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 13th |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 11 | Ironi Modi'in | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Maccabi Herzliya | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 6 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashdod | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 20 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Kiryat Yam SC | 8 | – |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 | 0.83 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | 0.80 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 | 1.17 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
Maccabi Herzliya at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +10 |
| 15 |
| 5 | Hapoel Ra'anana | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 15 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Kafr Qasim | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 9 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Ironi Modi'in | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Maccabi Herzliya | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Acre | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -23 | 0 |