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Today's picks

Today, Sunday 18 October · 26 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (5)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Top scorer Sučić not starting

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

MalagaReal Sociedad

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

Each of Real Sociedad's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price 1.09

Short price: returns 9p for every £1 if it wins

NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of NEC Nijmegen's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.07

Short price: returns 7p for every £1 if it wins

TwenteUtrecht

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Utrecht's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.19

LyonNice

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Lyon's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.09

Short price: returns 10p for every £1 if it wins

Real MadridSevilla

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

4 of Real Madrid's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Trial leagues (1)

10 of 11 trial picks shown

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , La Liga, Spain

Malaga v Real Sociedad

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Top scorer Sučić not starting

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

Each of Real Sociedad's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.

Line-ups

Confirmed starting elevens.

Malaga · 4-4-2

  1. 1Alfonso Herrero
  2. 31Rafita
  3. 20Fernando Calero
  4. 15Ángel Recio
  5. 12José Salinas
  6. 10David Larrubia
  7. 23Izan Merino
  8. 8Carlos Dotor
  9. 18Pablo Martínez
  10. 21Adrián Niño Heredia
  11. 9Chupe

Real Sociedad · 4-4-2

  1. 1Álex Remiro
  2. 22Héctor Fort
  3. 6Jon Martín
  4. 19M. Sarr
  5. 3Aihen Muñoz
  6. 14T. Kubo
  7. 4Jon Gorrotxategi
  8. 18Carlos Soler
  9. 7Barrenetxea
  10. 10Mikel Oyarzabal
  11. 9O. Óskarsson

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Malaga win 34%, Draw 26%, Real Sociedad win 40%.

Why this pick

Malaga host Real Sociedad in the La Liga, Spain.

Our model gives a 77% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 75%.

The model expects Malaga to score 1.3 goals and Real Sociedad 1.5.

4 of Malaga's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 5 of Real Sociedad's last 6 did.

Top factors

  • At home, Malaga have scored 1.0 goals a game and conceded 1.4 in their last 5 home matches.
  • Away, Real Sociedad have scored 1.6 goals a game and conceded 2.0 in their last 5 away matches.

Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Sat 17 Oct, 20:21 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Sat 17 Oct, 20:20 BST. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.