PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchOur public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Algeria - Ligue 1
Final score MC Alger 1, Témouchent 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: MC Alger win 74%, Draw 21%, Témouchent win 5%.
MC Alger host Témouchent in the Ligue 1, Algeria.
Our model gives MC Alger a 74% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Témouchent 5%.
The model expects MC Alger to score 1.8 goals and Témouchent 0.4.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Ligue 1, before kick-off.
MC Alger sit 11th with 3 points; Témouchent sit 10th with 4. A gap of 3 in goal difference, in favour of MC Alger; MC Alger have played 2 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Olympique Akbou | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Témouchent | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | MC Alger | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 3 |
| 12 | JS Kabylie | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 2 | CS Constantine | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | MC Oran | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 4 | USM Alger | 4 | – |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then MC Alger at home and Témouchent away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
MC Alger at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Témouchent away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | MC Alger | Témouchent |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 10th |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 1 and 3) | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 1 and 3) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +2 |
| 7 |
| 5 | Ben Aknoun | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 6 | MB Rouisset | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | ES Setif | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 4 |
| 8 | JS El Biar | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Olympique Akbou | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Témouchent | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | MC Alger | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 3 |
| 12 | JS Kabylie | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Khenchela | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | JS Saoura | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | US Biskra | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | ASO Chlef | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 1 |