PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Germany - Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Final score Mechtersheim 2, Ahrweiler 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Mechtersheim win 60%, Draw 20%, Ahrweiler win 20%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchMechtersheim host Ahrweiler in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar, Germany.
Our model gives Mechtersheim a 60% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Ahrweiler 20%.
The model expects Mechtersheim to score 2.3 goals and Ahrweiler 1.4.
Mechtersheim have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Ahrweiler have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar, before kick-off.
Mechtersheim sit 1st with 22 points; Ahrweiler sit 16th with 7. A gap of 18 in goal difference, in favour of Mechtersheim.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Mechtersheim at home and Ahrweiler away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Mechtersheim | Ahrweiler |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 16th |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.64 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Mechtersheim | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 22 |
| 2 | TuS Koblenz | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 21 |
| 15 | Hertha Wiesbach | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Ahrweiler | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 7 |
| 17 | Diefflen | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -21 | 6 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mechtersheim | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 22 |
| 2 | TuS Koblenz | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 21 |
| 3 | Schott Mainz | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 20 |
| 4 | Gau-Odernheim | 10 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 10 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 13 | 2.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 2 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 2 |
Mechtersheim at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Ahrweiler away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +12 |
| 20 |
| 5 | Gonsenheim | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 19 |
| 6 | Pirmasens | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 18 |
| 7 | FV Engers 07 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 18 |
| 8 | RW Wittlich | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 17 |
| 9 | Wormatia Worms | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 17 |
| 10 | TuS RW Koblenz | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 17 |
| 11 | Auersmacher | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Cosmos Koblenz | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Elversberg II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Hertha Wiesbach | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Ahrweiler | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 7 |
| 17 | Diefflen | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -21 | 6 |
| 18 | Eisbachtal | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -29 | 1 |