PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Romania - Liga III - Serie 7
Final score Metalurgistul Cugir 0, Cetate Deva 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Metalurgistul Cugir win 68%, Draw 19%, Cetate Deva win 13%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchMetalurgistul Cugir host Cetate Deva in the Liga III - Serie 7, Romania.
Our model gives Metalurgistul Cugir a 68% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Cetate Deva 13%.
The model expects Metalurgistul Cugir to score 2.4 goals and Cetate Deva 1.1.
Metalurgistul Cugir have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Cetate Deva have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga III - Serie 7, before kick-off.
Metalurgistul Cugir sit 9th with 6 points; Cetate Deva sit 5th with 12. A gap of 8 in goal difference, in favour of Cetate Deva.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Metalurgistul Cugir at home and Cetate Deva away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Metalurgistul Cugir | Cetate Deva |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 5th |
| Points per game | 0.86 | 1.71 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.83 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 4 | Timişul Şag | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Cetate Deva | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 12 |
| 6 | Progresul Pecica | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Poli Timisoara 2 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 4 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIL Blaj | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 16 |
| 2 | Unirea Sântana | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 15 |
| 3 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +17 | 14 |
| 4 | Timişul Şag | 7 | – |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 8 | 1.60 | 1 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 9 | 1.50 | 1 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
Metalurgistul Cugir at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Cetate Deva away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +4 |
| 14 |
| 5 | Cetate Deva | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 12 |
| 6 | Progresul Pecica | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Viitorul Arad | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Poli Timisoara 2 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Alba Iulia | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 3 |
| 12 | Nera Bogodinţi | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 2 |